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(1央行(xing)12月(yue)(yue)(yue)19日公布(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)據(ju)顯(xian)示(shi)，11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)，我(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)新增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)外匯占款(kuan)(kuan)為(wei)(wei)-279億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，連續兩個(ge)月(yue)(yue)(yue)負(fu)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)，顯(xian)示(shi)出(chu)資金凈流出(chu)壓力(li)較大(da)(da)(da)(da)。業內分(fen)析人士預計，這(zhe)種情(qing)況可能(neng)還會(hui)(hui)持(chi)續，為(wei)(wei)了(le)補充市(shi)場流動(dong)性(xing)，存款(kuan)(kuan)準備金率(lv)仍(reng)有下(xia)調的(de)(de)(de)可能(neng)。(2今年(nian)(nian)(nian)1~11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)央企業生產(chan)經營總體上(shang)(shang)(shang)保持(chi)平穩較快增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)，企業累(lei)計實現營業收(shou)入18.4萬億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)22.6%；實現凈利潤8317.9億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)3.6%。(3據(ju)國(guo)(guo)際鋼(gang)(gang)鐵協會(hui)(hui)12月(yue)(yue)(yue)20日公布(bu)(bu)的(de)(de)(de)數(shu)據(ju)顯(xian)示(shi)，11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)全(quan)球鋼(gang)(gang)廠產(chan)能(neng)利用(yong)(yong)率(lv)下(xia)滑(hua)至(zhi)兩年(nian)(nian)(nian)來(lai)的(de)(de)(de)最低水(shui)平，因受歐洲債(zhai)務(wu)危機(ji)的(de)(de)(de)影響經濟成長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)前(qian)景(jing)憂慮，消費(fei)商(shang)削減庫存水(shui)平。數(shu)據(ju)顯(xian)示(shi)，11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)鋼(gang)(gang)廠產(chan)能(neng)利用(yong)(yong)率(lv)下(xia)滑(hua)至(zhi)73.4%，較10月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)下(xia)滑(hua)2.8%，較上(shang)(shang)(shang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)減少2.6%。但全(quan)球今年(nian)(nian)(nian)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)粗鋼(gang)(gang)產(chan)量(liang)(liang)仍(reng)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲1.1%，至(zhi)1.16億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)噸。11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)粗鋼(gang)(gang)產(chan)量(liang)(liang)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)減少0.2%，至(zhi)4990萬噸，中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)為(wei)(wei)全(quan)球******的(de)(de)(de)鋼(gang)(gang)鐵生產(chan)國(guo)(guo)和消費(fei)國(guo)(guo)。(4上(shang)(shang)(shang)海(hai)市(shi)政府發(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)消息稱，明年(nian)(nian)(nian)將繼續加大(da)(da)(da)(da)房(fang)地(di)(di)產(chan)調控力(li)度(du)，繼續執行(xing)住房(fang)限(xian)購政策(ce)。成為(wei)(wei)繼北(bei)京(jing)之后(hou)第二個(ge)明確表態(tai)的(de)(de)(de)一線城(cheng)市(shi)。北(bei)京(jing)、上(shang)(shang)(shang)海(hai)作為(wei)(wei)調控政策(ce)執行(xing)力(li)度(du)******的(de)(de)(de)城(cheng)市(shi)，房(fang)價下(xia)調的(de)(de)(de)項目(mu)和幅度(du)也領先(xian)全(quan)國(guo)(guo)，目(mu)前(qian)來(lai)看拐點已經明顯(xian)出(chu)現。(5國(guo)(guo)土(tu)(tu)(tu)資源部12月(yue)(yue)(yue)21日發(fa)(fa)布(bu)(bu)了(le)《閑(xian)置(zhi)(zhi)土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)處置(zhi)(zhi)辦法(修訂草案(an)》公開征(zheng)求意見(jian)的(de)(de)(de)通(tong)知(zhi)。通(tong)知(zhi)稱土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)閑(xian)置(zhi)(zhi)滿1年(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)，經批準后(hou)可按土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)出(chu)讓或(huo)者(zhe)劃撥土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)價款(kuan)(kuan)的(de)(de)(de)20%征(zheng)繳土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)閑(xian)置(zhi)(zhi)費(fei)；未(wei)動(dong)工開發(fa)(fa)建(jian)設，土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)閑(xian)置(zhi)(zhi)滿2年(nian)(nian)(nian)的(de)(de)(de)，經批準后(hou)可無(wu)償收(shou)回(hui)土(tu)(tu)(tu)地(di)(di)使用(yong)(yong)權。(612月(yue)(yue)(yue)10日以后(hou)，四(si)(si)大(da)(da)(da)(da)商(shang)業銀行(xing)信(xin)貸(dai)(dai)投放(fang)(fang)突然發(fa)(fa)力(li)。12月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)前(qian)十天(tian)，四(si)(si)大(da)(da)(da)(da)商(shang)業銀行(xing)新增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)貸(dai)(dai)款(kuan)(kuan)僅在300億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)左(zuo)右。而(er)12月(yue)(yue)(yue)11~15日，四(si)(si)大(da)(da)(da)(da)商(shang)業銀行(xing)信(xin)貸(dai)(dai)投放(fang)(fang)超過(guo)400億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)，超過(guo)前(qian)十天(tian)的(de)(de)(de)總和。市(shi)場人士預計，12月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)貸(dai)(dai)款(kuan)(kuan)規模達5500億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)~6000億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)的(de)(de)(de)概率(lv)較大(da)(da)(da)(da)，全(quan)年(nian)(nian)(nian)新增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)貸(dai)(dai)款(kuan)(kuan)有望接近7.5萬億(yi)(yi)(yi)(yi)元(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)。(7記(ji)者(zhe)從12月(yue)(yue)(yue)21日在京(jing)舉行(xing)的(de)(de)(de)全(quan)國(guo)(guo)環境保護工作會(hui)(hui)議上(shang)(shang)(shang)獲(huo)悉，明年(nian)(nian)(nian)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)國(guo)(guo)污染(ran)減排任務(wu)已經確定：與(yu)今年(nian)(nian)(nian)相比(bi)(bi)(bi)，二氧化(hua)硫、化(hua)學需氧量(liang)(liang)排放(fang)(fang)量(liang)(liang)分(fen)別減少2%，氨氮排放(fang)(fang)量(liang)(liang)減少1.5%，氮氧化(hua)物排放(fang)(fang)量(liang)(liang)為(wei)(wei)零增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)。(8今年(nian)(nian)(nian)前(qian)11個(ge)月(yue)(yue)(yue)，我(wo)(wo)國(guo)(guo)全(quan)社(she)(she)會(hui)(hui)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)(liang)累(lei)計同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速為(wei)(wei)11.85%，其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)全(quan)社(she)(she)會(hui)(hui)用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)(liang)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)9.9%，比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速快速回(hui)落了(le)1.5個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點，環比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)1%，增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)幅比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)低1.3個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點。其(qi)中(zhong)(zhong)(zhong)，11月(yue)(yue)(yue)份(fen)重工業用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)(liang)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)10.6%，增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)速比(bi)(bi)(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)月(yue)(yue)(yue)大(da)(da)(da)(da)幅回(hui)落了(le)3.5個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點。從用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)(liang)占比(bi)(bi)(bi)較大(da)(da)(da)(da)的(de)(de)(de)化(hua)工、建(jian)材、黑色金屬冶煉、有色金屬冶煉四(si)(si)大(da)(da)(da)(da)重點行(xing)業來(lai)看，今年(nian)(nian)(nian)前(qian)11個(ge)月(yue)(yue)(yue)，四(si)(si)大(da)(da)(da)(da)行(xing)業用(yong)(yong)電(dian)量(liang)(liang)累(lei)計同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)比(bi)(bi)(bi)增(zeng)(zeng)(zeng)長(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)(chang)12.7%，環比(bi)(bi)(bi)下(xia)降3%，大(da)(da)(da)(da)于上(shang)(shang)(shang)年(nian)(nian)(nian)同(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)期(qi)將近1個(ge)百(bai)分(fen)點。

　近期房(fang)地(di)產市(shi)場(chang)(chang)持(chi)續低迷，但中(zhong)央對樓市(shi)調控的(de)決心堅(jian)定(ding)不搖。截至目前，今年(nian)實施(shi)限(xian)購令的(de)46個城(cheng)(cheng)市(shi)中(zhong)，已有北京、廣州、深(shen)圳、上海、青島、濟南、福州、長春、廈門、太(tai)原等至少10個城(cheng)(cheng)市(shi)明(ming)(ming)確表(biao)示(shi)將在(zai)明(ming)(ming)年(nian)繼(ji)續執行(xing)限(xian)購政策(ce)。在(zai)限(xian)購繼(ji)續的(de)同時，房(fang)產稅試點明(ming)(ming)年(nian)也可能進一步擴大。12月21日，據中(zhong)國指(zhi)數研(yan)究院提供(gong)的(de)數據顯示(shi)，今年(nian)受調控政策(ce)影響，全國住宅用地(di)量價全面下行(xing)，北京、上海等重點城(cheng)(cheng)市(shi)降幅更為顯著(zhu)。作為和房(fang)地(di)產緊密相(xiang)關的(de)鋼(gang)鐵行(xing)業，房(fang)地(di)產市(shi)場(chang)(chang)的(de)低迷對鋼(gang)材市(shi)場(chang)(chang)需(xu)求(qiu)將形成直接影響。

　資(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)方(fang)面，12月(yue)(yue)20日央(yang)行發(fa)行260億(yi)元(yuan)1年(nian)期央(yang)票，12月(yue)(yue)22日發(fa)行10億(yi)元(yuan)3月(yue)(yue)期票據，由(you)于(yu)上(shang)周公(gong)開(kai)市(shi)場(chang)到期資(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)僅有170億(yi)元(yuan)，公(gong)開(kai)市(shi)場(chang)上(shang)周仍然實現凈回籠資(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)100億(yi)元(yuan)。這是央(yang)行連續第四(si)周在(zai)公(gong)開(kai)市(shi)場(chang)凈回籠資(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)，累計凈回籠資(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)量達到2080億(yi)元(yuan)。臨近年(nian)末，銀行開(kai)始逐漸收(shou)緊閘門(men)，部(bu)分銀行基本已(yi)無(wu)新增貸款可放，市(shi)場(chang)資(zi)金(jin)(jin)(jin)(jin)再度出現緊張局面。

　據(ju)數據(ju)顯示，12月(yue)20日(ri)滬大額銀行(xing)承(cheng)兌(dui)匯(hui)(hui)票(piao)月(yue)貼現率(lv)為7.70‰，較(jiao)12月(yue)15日(ri)回落0.13%，但(dan)中介市場承(cheng)兌(dui)匯(hui)(hui)票(piao)月(yue)貼現率(lv)達到7.25‰，較(jiao)12月(yue)15日(ri)上升1.54%。

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